Ledger

Public record, including the losses.

This is the public Postgame analysis ledger: each row opens the canonical match file, with Pregame analysis and Postgame analysis kept together. No personal staking ledger lives here.

Date	Match	Prediction cloud	Support	Final	Turtle settlement	Correction / postgame analysis
2026-07-02	Portugal vs Croatia	1-1, 2-1, 3-1, 3-2	Over 2.5	2-1	Exact branch hit	Positive signal, small sample; logged as evidence, not proof.
2026-07-03	Switzerland vs Algeria	2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-2	Over 3.5	2-0	Score-card miss	Clean-sheet branch and opponent-strength gate were underweighted.
2026-07-03	Australia vs Egypt	0-1, 1-1, 1-2, 2-2	Over 1.5	1-1	Exact branch hit	Draw branch landed; 1-1 was preserved as a first-class score.
2026-07-03	Argentina vs Cape Verde	2-0, 1-0, 3-0, 1-1	Low-total support	1-1	Four-score card hit; old status split corrected	R5 pressure-extension displaced the draw-risk branch; this created the four-score rule.
2026-07-03	Colombia vs Ghana	1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 1-1	Under 3.5 support hit	1-0	Four-score card hit	Exact-cell leader landed; score 4 not needed.
2026-07-04	Canada vs Morocco	1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2	Under 3.5 support hit	0-3	Late-lock score-card miss; support hit	0-2 was S10 rank 6 and 0-3 was rank 11; Turtle missed the Morocco clean-sheet spread thread.
2026-07-04	Paraguay vs France	0-2, 0-1, 1-1, 1-3	Under 3.5 support hit	0-1	Late-analysis four-score card hit	0-1 exact-cell anchor landed; public correction says ranked display is not solo-deployment permission.
2026-07-05	Brazil vs Norway	2-0, 2-1, 1-1, 1-2	Over 1.5 YES hit; Over 3.5 NO hit	1-2	Four-score card hit	The Norway star branch was real. Carry-forward rule: high score-four underdog BTTS branches require a promotion audit before lock.
2026-07-05	Mexico vs England	1-1, 0-1, 0-2, 2-2	Over 1.5 YES hit; low-total support failed	2-3	Four-score card miss	The 2-2 branch was real but not enough. Correction: Under 3.5 cannot be full-card support when score 4 itself is 2-2.
2026-07-06	Portugal vs Spain	1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2	Analysis-only support; allocation guidance removed	0-1	Four-score card miss	Protocol failure: overstacked BTTS, ignored Spain clean-sheet streak, and failed to preserve Neohm's 0-1 signal.
2026-07-06	Belgium vs USA	2-1, 1-2, 3-1, 1-1	BTTS/over-goal reads hit; exact-score card missed	1-4	Four-score card miss	Favorite-cushion ladder failure: 3-1 survived, but 4-1 was not formally tested before lock.
2026-07-07	Argentina vs Egypt	2-0, 3-0, 2-1, 1-1	Over 1.5 support hit; Under 3.5 candidate failed	3-2	Four-score card miss	Second-underdog-goal failure: Turtle admitted Egypt scoring but did not carry 2-2 or 3-2 through contradiction.
2026-07-09	France vs Morocco	2-1, 3-1, 2-2, 3-2	Scenario lab analysis-only; S06 clean 2-0 hit	2-0	Four-score card miss; scenario settlement 1/20	BTTS overstack. The 2-0 world existed in scenario S06 but was not promoted into C4.
2026-07-10	Belgium vs Spain	0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 1-1	Under 3.5 aligned; Under 2.5 reclassified partial	1-2	Four-score card hit	C4-3 landed exactly. Spain clean-sheet branch failed, but the wall-break Spain-win node was preserved.
2026-07-07	Switzerland vs Colombia	Locked analysis	See page	See page	Archived lock	Canonical pregame lock and audit files are preserved on the match page.
2026-07-11	England vs Norway	2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 1-2	BTTS stress	See page	Published lock	Readable fact board and 200-row intelligence file are linked from the canonical page.
2026-07-11	Argentina vs Switzerland	2-1, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0	Under 3.5 full-card aligned	See page	Published lock	Evidence board now exposes the model summary, score candidates, ledgers, and proof artifacts.
2026-07-15	England vs Argentina	1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1	Zero-dollar market exercise reported separately	1-2	Exact C4 hit / node 2	Argentina-win, three-goal, BTTS, and no-clean-sheet threads landed. One hit does not establish calibration.