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M101 / evidence folder

What evidence is actually available?

A reader-first inventory of verified seeds, source-backed review rows, unfinished mining, and the files that support each public claim.

Evidence inventory

Do not confuse a populated slot with an admitted fact.

Seed facts
40
Public-report seeds; official cross-check remains.
Review-stage rows
465
Source-backed; awaiting Aster review.
Pending slots
495
No claim until a source and cutoff are attached.
Proof-admitted rows
0
Binding Villanova count.

Highlighted facts

Twelve source-backed rows worth reading first

These rows are readable evidence, not automatic model premises. Every card links back to its source.

FS-304 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

Maignan has kept clean sheets in all three France knockout matches cited by El Pais: Sweden, Paraguay, and Morocco.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.81 Source: elpais.com — FS-304
FS-309 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

Mbappe is credited by El Pais with 11 goal contributions, making him the primary player-specific star-distortion input for France.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.80 Source: elpais.com — FS-309
FS-308 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

Mbappe, Dembele, and Olise combine for 23 France goal contributions according to El Pais, concentrating France's attacking proof in the front three.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.80 Source: elpais.com — FS-308
FS-303 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

El Pais reports Mike Maignan has conceded only two goals in the tournament, both during the group stage.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.80 Source: elpais.com — FS-303
FS-291 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

Mike Maignan has conceded only two tournament goals, both in the group stage, while France's knockout run has kept him comparatively protected.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.80 Source: elpais.com — FS-291
FS-287 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

Le Monde reports Olise was part of France's attacking trio with Mbappe and Dembele and led France with three assists in the group stage.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.8 Source: lemonde.fr — FS-287
FS-281 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

Mbappe had finished the Morocco match with an ankle knock but said afterward he was fine and had avoided extra risk.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.8 Source: lemonde.fr — FS-281
FS-314 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

El Pais reports Mbappe above 37 km/h as the fastest player in the tournament data, adding a transition-speed distortion against Spain.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.79 Source: elpais.com — FS-314
FS-313 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

El Pais reports Morocco managed only one shot on target against France, extending the low-shot-on-target knockout pattern.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.79 Source: elpais.com — FS-313
FS-312 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

El Pais reports Paraguay produced zero shots on target against France, a strong clean-sheet-support datapoint from the knockout phase.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.79 Source: elpais.com — FS-312
FS-306 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

El Pais reports France has scored 2.67 goals per match, running about one goal above its expected-goal output.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.79 Source: elpais.com — FS-306
FS-305 / FRA_ESP_SF team a players

El Pais estimates France at 1.65 expected goals per match, giving the attack a numeric chance-creation baseline before Spain.

status: source_verified_pending_review; confidence: 0.79 Source: elpais.com — FS-305
Open 150 additional source-backed facts pending Aster review

These are source-backed public reports, not model-valid rows; official cross-check and review remain pending.

  1. FS-311 El Pais reports France reduced total shots allowed to five in each of the Paraguay and Morocco knockout matches after earlier higher shot counts.
  2. FS-307 El Pais says opponents' shots against France add up to about half an expected goal per match, giving the defense a numeric suppression baseline.
  3. FS-297 Lucas Digne has consolidated the France left-back role over Theo Hernandez and plays with less attacking abandon, reducing one flank-risk pathway.
  4. FS-295 Saliba and Upamecano were described as holding France's defensive line high when France plays in opposition territory, tying the center-back pairing to transition risk.
  5. FS-288 Le Monde lists Bradley Barcola and Desire Doue as supporting France attackers who have contributed during the tournament.
  6. FS-282 Tchouameni trained normally according to AS after missing Paraguay and staying unused against Morocco as France preserved his ankle.
  7. FS-280 Mbappe trained normally before Spain after ankle discomfort, with AS reporting he was available and pointing toward the starting lineup.
  8. FS-310 France's knockout pass network is described as asymmetric, with Mbappe drifting left, Dembele high on the right, and Olise supplying behind them.
  9. FS-296 Upamecano was praised by France staff for duel power and ball progression, strengthening his individual role in both box defense and buildup.
  10. FS-293 Rabiot and Manu Kone were credited with tactical sense supporting France's defense against Morocco, giving the midfield screen evidence beyond the center-backs.
  11. FS-292 Maignan's workload is described as low across recent matches, with only limited high-value interventions remembered by the source.
  12. FS-300 Olise has shifted from his usual right-wing profile into a central attacking-midfield role that helps Mbappe and Dembele occupy space.
  13. FS-298 Kounde has also responded well at fullback, though his greater attacking license creates a specific Lamine Yamal-side caution gate.
  14. FS-294 Saliba said France's clean sheet against Morocco reflected a team that can defend and attack, framing him as a continuity voice for the two-way structure.
  15. FS-290 AS reports Doue had more minutes, recoveries, and chances created than Barcola, while Barcola had more successful dribbles and goals.
  16. FS-289 AS compares Doue and Barcola as France's debated fourth attacking starter, with Doue described as technical in tight spaces and Barcola as fast and disruptive.
  17. FS-302 Mbappe is described as France's captain and leader inside and outside the pitch, with commitment and effectiveness central to the team read.
  18. FS-301 Dembele and Olise were credited with defensive effort after turnovers, reducing the risk that France's attack-defense spacing splits in two.
  19. FS-299 Michael Olise's rapid integration into France after developing outside French academies is treated by AS as a notable continuity gain for Deschamps.
  20. FS-285 Upamecano also skipped group work in the cited training report, with AS saying France were managing load for a key center-back.
  21. FS-284 Saliba did not work with the group in the cited France training report, but AS framed it as workload management rather than an urgent problem.
  22. FS-283 AS reports Tchouameni's return is expected to put him back into the starting midfield despite Manu Kone's successful cover in his absence.
  23. FS-286 Manu Kone was identified by AS as the successful replacement during Tchouameni's recent absence.
  24. FS-394 France kept a clean sheet against Morocco, described as its third clean sheet in a row.
  25. FS-392 Mbappe is reported to have opened the scoring five times in France's first six tournament matches.
  26. FS-391 France is reported with 16 tournament goals before the semifinal, the highest total cited by the source.
  27. FS-371 AP reports Spain remained unbeaten in 37 straight competitive matches since March 2023 after advancing past Belgium.
  28. FS-370 Merino entered late against Belgium and scored on his second touch after also providing a late knockout winner against Portugal.
  29. FS-368 AP reports Spain did not concede in its first five tournament matches and Unai Simon's non-concession run reached about 650 World Cup minutes before Belgium scored.
  30. FS-393 Dembele is reported with five goals at the tournament before the semifinal after scoring France's second against Morocco.
  31. FS-376 Spain's Belgium win included goals from Fabian Ruiz and Merino, keeping midfield scoring central to Spain's knockout route.
  32. FS-369 Belgium broke Spain's defensive streak when De Ketelaere muscled past Cubarsi to head in a Castagne cross.
  33. FS-401 Oyarzabal is identified as Spain's tournament scoring leader with four goals before the semifinal.
  34. FS-400 Spain's tournament path includes both a scoreless group draw and multi-goal wins, creating a pace-volatility input rather than one fixed tempo profile.
  35. FS-399 AP reports that neither Spain nor France had lost at this World Cup before their semifinal meeting.
  36. FS-398 Spain reached its first World Cup semifinal since its 2010 title run.
  37. FS-377 AP reports Belgium pressed late for an equalizer and Laporte made a key box clearance for Spain in stoppage time.
  38. FS-402 Lamine Yamal is described as a right-wing threat who scored early in his first World Cup start and draws double teams.
  39. FS-397 Oyarzabal's cited tournament scoring includes a brace against Saudi Arabia and another goal against Austria.
  40. FS-373 France is described as capable of switching between spectacular wins, grinding battles, and controlled favorite victories during the tournament.
  41. FS-396 Mbappe left the Morocco match with a right-ankle knock but said he was fine and avoiding risk.
  42. FS-395 Deschamps said France conceded very few chances against Morocco and maintained balance through defense and midfield.
  43. FS-383 Le Monde lists Barcola, Doue, Cherki, Thuram, Akliouche, and Mateta as attacking options beyond Mbappe, Dembele, and Olise.
  44. FS-381 Le Monde describes Deschamps' 2026 setup as a shift toward four forwards with only two midfielders, prioritizing offensive problems for opponents.
  45. FS-372 France's attacking quartet is identified as Mbappe, Dembele, Michael Olise, and Desire Doue, with the attack described as a tactical shift under Deschamps.
  46. FS-367 Spain is described as possession-heavy but faster and more direct through dynamic wingers under Luis de la Fuente.
  47. FS-382 Le Monde notes Deschamps has warned he may add an extra midfielder against stronger knockout opponents if balance requires it.
  48. FS-378 Le Monde notes France's bench includes attackers such as Barcola and Cherki who are viewed as starting-level talents elsewhere.
  49. FS-415 AS reports France trained in Boston before traveling to Dallas, with Mbappe and Tchouameni normal in training and Saliba plus Upamecano managed for workload.
  50. FS-412 El Pais reports Ferran Torres replaced Baena in the 55th minute to unsettle comfortable Belgium center backs and moved across the attacking front.
  51. FS-411 El Pais notes Pedri began on the bench, played most of the second half, and remained fundamental even below his best version.
  52. FS-410 El Pais says Oyarzabal was crowded by Belgium's compact block, had his best chance saved by Courtois, and was later replaced by Nico.
  53. FS-409 El Pais reports Yamal repeatedly faced layered markers and Courtois saved two of his shots after he got through.
  54. FS-408 El Pais says Olmo operated as a freer attacking midfielder ahead of the pivots but his final-pass attempts did not land against Belgium.
  55. FS-406 El Pais described Fabian as a structural player who brought stability and order, scored the opener, and was replaced by Pedri after 55 minutes.
  56. FS-405 El Pais described Rodri as taking ownership of the Belgium match and administering possession close to a monopoly.
  57. FS-404 El Pais rated Cucurella as energetic overall but noted he was slightly disconnected on the Castagne cross that preceded Belgium's equalizer.
  58. FS-403 El Pais described Laporte as the leader of Spain's defense, moving the line well, winning duels, and neutralizing De Ketelaere, Lukaku, and De Bruyne.
  59. FS-389 El Pais singled out Cubarsi as the main Spanish player with a notable error on the Belgium goal concession.
  60. FS-388 El Pais noted Unai Simon's record run was interrupted against Belgium and that his footwork caused some scares despite limited shot volume.
  61. FS-387 El Pais described Porro as one of Spain's best performers against Belgium and credited him with preventing Doku from turning.
  62. FS-386 El Pais credited Yamal with helping Porro defend Belgium's dangerous flank pair while also launching Porro in the move for Spain's first goal sequence.
  63. FS-385 El Pais assessed Lamine Yamal's Belgium performance as tactically mature, active without the ball, and careful in risk selection near the area.
  64. FS-414 El Pais notes Belgium's missing Onana and Tielemans left Rodri with an easier midfield environment than Spain may face against France.
  65. FS-413 El Pais described Baena as diffuse and unable to exploit Belgium's lax interior midfield in the first half.
  66. FS-407 El Pais framed De la Fuente's Fabian-Pedri-Olmo choices as a chain of tactical changes that exposed selection complications.
  67. FS-390 Cadena SER reports the France-Spain semifinal features many club teammates facing each other, including Arsenal, Barcelona, PSG, Manchester City, Crystal Palace, and Chelsea links.
  68. FS-374 Mbappe reportedly completed group training after a Morocco injury scare, while Upamecano and Saliba reportedly missed group training and Tchouameni remained doubtful.
  69. FS-379 Mbappe reportedly completed group training after a minor issue, while Saliba and Upamecano missed group work and Tchouameni was described as doubtful.
  70. FS-380 A later Spanish report said Mbappe and Tchouameni trained normally, while Saliba and Upamecano were held back to reduce load rather than because of serious issues.
  71. FS-117 Charles De Ketelaere equalized for Belgium in the 41st minute, the first goal Spain had allowed in the tournament.
  72. FS-119 AP reports that neither Spain nor France has lost at this year's World Cup before the semifinal.
  73. FS-115 Merino entered in the 86th minute against Belgium and scored on his second touch.
  74. FS-043 France kept a clean sheet against Morocco, its third clean sheet in a row according to the source.
  75. FS-039 Kylian Mbappe is reported with eight goals in six matches at the tournament.
  76. FS-038 France is reported with 16 tournament goals before the semifinal, the highest total cited by the source and ahead of Argentina's 14.
  77. FS-036 France has six wins in six matches at the tournament before the semifinal.
  78. FS-118 Spain reached its first World Cup semifinal since its 2010 title run.
  79. FS-109 Mikel Merino is reported as scoring Spain's game-winner against both Portugal and Belgium.
  80. FS-042 Dembele is reported with five goals at the tournament before the semifinal.
  81. FS-040 Mbappe is reported to have opened the scoring five times in France's first six tournament matches.
  82. FS-110 Mikel Oyarzabal is reported as Spain's leading scorer with four tournament goals before the semifinal.
  83. FS-121 Unai Simon had not conceded in a World Cup-record 650 minutes dating to Qatar before Belgium's goal ended the streak.
  84. FS-120 Spain is reported unbeaten in 37 straight competitive matches since March 2023.
  85. FS-111 Oyarzabal's cited tournament scoring includes a brace against Saudi Arabia and another goal against Austria.
  86. FS-106 Spain enters the semifinal on a 36-match unbeaten streak according to the public semifinal report.
  87. FS-037 France reached the World Cup final four for the third consecutive tournament under Didier Deschamps.
  88. FS-105 Spain is listed as No. 3 in the world, one spot below its early-June official FIFA ranking.
  89. FS-030 France is described as No. 1 in an unofficial current FIFA ranking and No. 3 entering the tournament.
  90. FS-045 Mbappe left the Morocco match with a right-ankle knock but said he was fine and avoiding risk.
  91. FS-112 Luis de la Fuente is credited with shifting Spain toward a faster, more direct attacking style using dynamic wingers.
  92. FS-044 Deschamps said France conceded very few chances against Morocco and maintained balance through defense and midfield.
  93. FS-482 The public semifinal schedule source states that the two semifinals are split across July 14 and July 15.
  94. FS-468 Candidate branch: draw family. Strongest opposing fact: AP reports Spain remained unbeaten in thirty-seven straight competitive matches since March 2023 after advancing past Belgium. Deterministic gate proposal: draw candidates must be tested against Spain non-loss strength without turning unbeaten status into automatic draw selection.
  95. FS-467 Candidate branch: draw family. Strongest opposing fact: France has six wins in six matches at the tournament before the semifinal. Deterministic gate proposal: draw candidates must clear a France current-tournament win-mode gate, not merely cite semifinal caution.
  96. FS-466 Candidate branch: BTTS family. Strongest opposing fact: France kept a clean sheet against Morocco, its third clean sheet in a row according to the source. Deterministic gate proposal: BTTS candidates must defeat France's current clean-sheet run before proof admission.
  97. FS-465 Candidate branch: BTTS family. Strongest opposing fact: AP reports Spain did not concede in its first five tournament matches and Unai Simon's non-concession run reached about six hundred fifty World Cup minutes before Belgium scored. Deterministic gate proposal: BTTS candidates require a Spain clean-sheet override defeat.
  98. FS-464 Candidate branch: Spain clean-sheet family. Strongest opposing fact: France is reported with sixteen tournament goals before the semifinal, the highest total cited by the source. Deterministic gate proposal: Spain clean-sheet candidates must defeat France tournament attack volume before inclusion.
  99. FS-473 Candidate branch: over-3.5 tail family. Strongest opposing fact: Spain's first five tournament matches formed a non-concession run, and France enters with three straight clean sheets. Deterministic gate proposal: any four-plus-goal tail must defeat both current defensive streaks.
  100. FS-454 Candidate branch: France cushion family. Strongest opposing fact: Spain enters on a 36-match unbeaten run, so a France cushion branch must defeat Spain unbeaten-resistance evidence.
  101. FS-472 Candidate branch: France control family. Strongest opposing fact: Spain enters the semifinal on a thirty-six-match unbeaten streak according to the public semifinal report. Deterministic gate proposal: France control candidates must defeat Spain unbeaten-resistance evidence before inclusion.
  102. FS-469 Candidate branch: France cushion family. Strongest opposing fact: AP reports Belgium pressed late for an equalizer and Laporte made a key box clearance for Spain in stoppage time. Deterministic gate proposal: France cushion candidates must defeat Spain late defensive survival and low-margin resistance evidence.
  103. FS-461 Candidate branch: France clean-sheet family. Strongest opposing fact: Mikel Merino is credited with decisive Spain goals in two straight knockout matches, so France clean-sheet claims must defeat late-arriving midfield scoring evidence.
  104. FS-457 Candidate branch: France clean-sheet family. Strongest opposing fact: Spain's Oyarzabal is identified as tournament scoring leader for Spain with four goals, so a France clean-sheet branch must defeat Spain's primary scorer evidence.
  105. FS-451 Candidate branch: Spain clean-sheet family. Strongest opposing fact: France is described as having nine wins and one loss in 2026 and produced double-digit group-stage goals, so any Spain clean-sheet branch must defeat France scoring-form evidence.
  106. FS-458 Candidate branch: draw-block family. Strongest opposing fact: France is described as No. 1 in the latest unofficial ranking while Spain is ranked No. 3 and unbeaten in 36 matches, so draw-block claims must defeat dual elite-team pressure rather than lean on caution alone.
  107. FS-456 Candidate branch: high-total tail family. Strongest opposing fact: Spain's goalkeeper profile is attached to five straight clean sheets and 649 minutes without conceding, so any high-total tail must defeat Spain suppression evidence.
  108. FS-455 Candidate branch: Spain cushion family. Strongest opposing fact: France is described as No. 1 in the latest unofficial ranking and as having nine wins and one loss in 2026, so a Spain cushion branch must defeat France rank and form evidence.
  109. FS-453 Candidate branch: low-draw family. Strongest opposing fact: Mbappe and Messi are listed as current Golden Boot co-leaders with eight goals and Spain's Oyarzabal is identified as Spain's tournament scoring leader with four goals, so low-draw claims must defeat elite scorer pressure.
  110. FS-475 Candidate branch: Spain clean-sheet family. Strongest opposing fact: France's attacking quartet is identified as Mbappe, Dembele, Michael Olise, and Desire Doue, with the attack described as a tactical shift under Deschamps. Deterministic gate proposal: Spain clean-sheet candidates must test France four-forward pressure as a named attack.
  111. FS-471 Candidate branch: Spain upset family. Strongest opposing fact: France is described as No. 1 in an unofficial current FIFA ranking and No. 3 entering the tournament. Deterministic gate proposal: Spain upset candidates must declare the rank seed and defeat France strength-prior evidence.
  112. FS-463 Candidate branch: France clean-sheet family. Strongest opposing fact: Spain is described as faster and more direct through dynamic wingers under Luis de la Fuente. Deterministic gate proposal: France clean-sheet candidates must include a Spain winger-progression attack before proof admission.