Settled / World Cup Final
C4 MISSSpain 0-0 Argentina
Regulation time. The prediction was locked before kickoff and is preserved exactly as published.
Original locked C4None landed
Settlement
Regulation time0-0OUTSIDE C4The model saw 0-0, then left it out.
0-0 ranked sixth at 7.17%, only 0.67 percentage points below the fourth node. It passed the model's source floor, yet no scoreless-draw representative entered C4. That is the decisive selection failure.
Final diagnosis
A failed exact-score experiment.
The card covered 37.7% of modeled score mass, leaving 62.3% outside. Its stability checks showed that the same machinery repeatedly chose the same four scores; they did not demonstrate that those scores were calibrated to reality.
0-0 was modeled but not selected.
The scoreless draw was a live branch.
A narrow selector boundary decided the miss.
The recorded experiment closes at 50% node containment.
Status: Project Turtle's current exact-score protocol is closed pending a genuine rebuild. This result is recorded as a miss, without changing the pregame card.