# Villanova Final Verdict - Canonical M101 Run

**Verdict:** BLOCKED  
**Proof status:** PROOF BLOCK  
**C4 status:** NOT ISSUED  
**Timestamp UTC:** 2026-07-14T16:57:17Z

## What passed

- Official fixture fields and the 18:15Z hard admission boundary are present.
- The submitted Athena artifact manifest is internally hash-consistent.
- The model bundle contains a declared grid, thread calculations, a proposal
  selector, and sensitivity output.

## Why the lock is blocked

1. **Admission trail absent.** Model-labelled rows have no frozen
   retrieval/publication/snapshot evidence, reviewer decision/time, or
   official/independent crosscheck trail.
2. **Replay is not immutable.** The wrapper calls a mutable external model
   script and overwrites the canonical directory without input-hash checks.
3. **C4 theorem absent.** The declared object is a model shortlist, not a
   proof-complete C4 objective with branch coverage, stability, inclusion, and
   exclusion-by-exhaustion.
4. **Contradictions not discharged.** Mandatory branches are input-only,
   source-bound recursive attacks are absent, and the ruthless ladder and
   Clean-Sheet Override are not auditable.
5. **Lineup proof remains unresolved.** There is no final admitted starting-XI
   reconciliation; neutral and bounded sensitivity assumptions cannot replace
   it.
6. **Required signatures are incomplete.** Athena DATA/MODEL PASS does not
   supply Villanova PROOF PASS or Aster INTEGRATION PASS.

## Permitted public language

> A fresh semifinal data-analysis run is available for inspection. It is under
> independent proof audit; prediction is pending and no exact-score card is
> locked.

## Required next state transition

Only a new immutable, row-admitted canonical replay with the missing proof
lemmas and synchronized three-role signatures can change this verdict. Until
then, public and AI-readable routes must remain **PRE-LOCK / NOT C4 LOCKED /
NO MARKET GUIDANCE**.