{
  "run_id": "ESP_ARG_FINAL_2026_07_19",
  "public_state": "PRE_LOCK",
  "fixture_verified": true,
  "fixture": {
    "match_code": "ESP_ARG_FINAL",
    "competition": "FIFA World Cup 2026",
    "stage": "Final",
    "date": "2026-07-19",
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-07-19T19:00:00Z",
    "kickoff_local": "2026-07-19T15:00:00-04:00",
    "venue": "New York New Jersey Stadium",
    "city_country": "East Rutherford, New Jersey, United States",
    "score_scope": "regulation_time_only"
  },
  "canonical_route": "/matches/spain-argentina-2026-07-19/",
  "final_hub_route": "/final/",
  "c4_status": "NOT_LOCKED",
  "legal_c4_count": 0,
  "scores": [],
  "market_guidance": "NONE",
  "cutoffs": {
    "source_snapshot_started_utc": "2026-07-17T06:13:42Z",
    "working_admission_cutoff_utc": "2026-07-19T17:00:00Z",
    "immutable_c4_freeze_utc": "2026-07-19T18:15:00Z",
    "rule": "No target-match, in-play, post-kickoff, postgame, market-price, or later-retrieved source may enter a C4 input after the immutable freeze."
  },
  "gate_status": {
    "fixture": "PASS",
    "historical_ledger_admission": "PASS_50_PLUS_50",
    "regulation_scope": "PASS_EXCEPTION_AUDIT_RECORDED",
    "current_tournament_rendered_source": "PASS_SECONDARY_RENDERED_WITH_OFFICIAL_URL_REFERENCE",
    "fresh_rating_snapshot": "PASS",
    "spain_realm": "PASS",
    "argentina_realm": "BLOCKED_REALM_N_EFF",
    "official_final_lineups": "PENDING",
    "player_tactical_layers": "PENDING",
    "contradiction_audit": "NOT_RUN_BLOCKED",
    "stability_audit": "NOT_RUN_BLOCKED",
    "proof": "BLOCKED_ARGENTINA_REALM_N_EFF",
    "integration": "PENDING",
    "model_threads": "BLOCKED_ARGENTINA_REALM_N_EFF",
    "score_candidates": "NOT_GENERATED_BLOCKED",
    "villanova_verdict": "BLOCK"
  },
  "counts": {
    "spain_model_valid_rows": 50,
    "argentina_model_valid_rows": 50,
    "current_tournament_regulation_rows": 14,
    "source_evidence_rows": 21,
    "model_valid_rows": 100,
    "spain_last_50_rows": 50,
    "argentina_last_50_rows": 50
  },
  "generated_utc": "2026-07-17T07:00:56Z",
  "limitations": [
    "Historical results use frozen secondary rendered-results snapshots; current Elo is a declared historical-opponent proxy.",
    "FIFA article HTML captures may be client shells. Current-tournament rows are supported by frozen rendered secondary snapshots, while official URLs remain references rather than captured fact text.",
    "Argentina's selected comparable-opponent realm has raw n=5 but n_eff=3.074, below the required 5.0.",
    "Final starting XIs and final availability are unresolved. This package cannot issue a C4."
  ],
  "prelock_model_readiness": {
    "status": "BLOCKED",
    "reason": "Argentina comparable-opponent realm is BLOCKED_REALM_N_EFF with n_eff=3.074 below the required 5.0; no thread or score selector may run. Official final XIs/availability and downstream proof gates are also unresolved.",
    "artifacts": [
      "result_thread.csv",
      "spread_thread.csv",
      "total_thread.csv",
      "btts_clean_sheet_thread.csv",
      "score_family_thread.csv",
      "form_window_summary.csv",
      "lineup_availability_review.csv",
      "score_candidates.csv",
      "contradiction_ledger.csv",
      "stability_audit.csv",
      "human_signal_status.csv",
      "model_summary.csv"
    ]
  }
}