# M101 Canonical Data Analysis Status

**Public status:** DATA ANALYSIS VISIBLE / PREDICTION PENDING  
**C4 status:** BLOCKED / ZERO NODES  
**Fixture:** M101 France vs Spain, FIFA World Cup 2026 semifinal, Dallas Stadium  
**Model-admission/C4 freeze:** 2026-07-14T18:15:00Z  
**Scheduled kickoff:** 2026-07-14T19:00:00Z  
**Binding proof verdict:** Villanova PROOF BLOCK at 2026-07-14T16:57:17Z

## What the numerical run established

Athena's canonical run is reproducible and contains 100/100 provisionally
model-labelled rows. Its conditional opponent-threshold calculations contain
10 France rows with `n_eff=6.853` and 12 Spain rows with `n_eff=9.070`, after
the permitted widening to `epsilon=1.25`.

These are numerical-run facts, not proof admission.

## Why no prediction exists

Villanova completed the independent audit and did not admit the rows into a C4
proof. The bundle lacks frozen row-level retrieval and crosscheck evidence,
source-bound recursive contradiction lemmas, the complete C4 selector theorem,
final starting-XI reconciliation, and synchronized proof signatures.

The legal state is therefore:

`0 proof-admitted rows / 0 of 2 legal proof realms / C4 count 0`

Candidate scores, score rankings, posteriors, and market-like outputs remain
withheld. The binding artifacts are `canonical/VILLANOVA_FINAL_VERDICT.md`,
`C4_PROOF.md`, and `final_c4_card.csv`.

## Citation wording

> Athena completed a reproducible provisional numerical run. Villanova issued
> PROOF BLOCK, so prediction is pending and no exact-score C4 is locked.