# Postgame Audit: France vs Morocco

Status: settled
Final score: France 2-0 Morocco
C4 settlement: MISS
Locked C4: France 2-1 Morocco; France 3-1 Morocco; 2-2; France 3-2 Morocco
Correct missing branch: France 2-0 Morocco

## What happened

France won 2-0. The locked C4 missed because every public score required Morocco to score. That was the central error.

## Scenario settlement

The 20-scenario lab did not entirely fail. Scenario S06, `Clean France 2-0`, described the final state: France advances, over 1.5, under 5.5, BTTS no, France team total over 1.5, Morocco team total under 0.5, exact 2-0. The failure was that Turtle treated this as a secondary scenario while the public C4 overcommitted to BTTS.

Scenario settlement: 1/20 exact scenario hit, 19/20 scenario misses.

## What went right

- The fact board contained the clean France 2-0 route.
- The calibration table listed France 2-0 as a rejected candidate.
- The scenario system was broad enough to imagine the true world.

## What failed

- The C4 did not promote the true clean-sheet branch.
- Morocco scoring facts were weighted too heavily relative to Saibari absence, France defensive control, and tournament knockout suppression.
- The proof remained a post-hoc contradiction display rather than a selection engine. It could explain why BTTS scores survived, but it did not force the clean-sheet branch into the final four.
- The scenario lab and the C4 were inconsistent: S06 was strong enough to describe the final but not strong enough to enter the public score card.

## Rule correction

New rule: if a rejected scenario exactly matches a high-support clean-sheet branch and the C4 contains four BTTS or high-draw scores, the proof must run a mandatory promotion audit before lock. The audit must compare the best BTTS score against the best clean-sheet score by stated inequalities, not by narrative.

## Public wording

This is not a clever learning moment. Turtle missed the public C4. It had the 2-0 world in the scenario sheet but failed to make it one of the four public score predictions.