# Why This Card Can Fail

1. England clean sheet returns: if Norway's Brazil/BTTS route is over-weighted, `1-0` or `2-0` can punish the card.
2. High stress exceeds C4: if both teams keep trading attacks, `3-2` is the obvious wider-orbit danger score.
3. Weather or knockout caution suppresses the game: a slow tempo can make `0-0` or `1-0` stronger than the current route facts imply.
4. Norway upset escalates: the card preserves `1-2`, not a Norway cushion.

This lock is a BTTS-stress card. It is intentionally not a clean-sheet favorite card.